Ligue 2 | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Charlety

Paris FC
3 - 0
Concarneau

Diaby-Fadiga (42'), Hamel (75', 84')
Gaudin (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Paris FC and Concarneau.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris FC

All competitions
Last Game: Pau 2-0 Paris FC
Saturday, August 19 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Concarneau

All competitions
Last Game: Concarneau 0-2 Caen
Saturday, August 19 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Concarneau had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Concarneau win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris FC would win this match.

Result
Paris FCDrawConcarneau
37.85% (0.142 0.14)27.09% (0.061 0.06)35.06% (-0.205 -0.2)
Both teams to score 50.56% (-0.217 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.21% (-0.265 -0.27)54.78% (0.26199999999999 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.91% (-0.22 -0.22)76.09% (0.217 0.22)
Paris FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.95% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)28.04% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.3% (-0.055 -0.05)63.7% (0.052 0.05)
Concarneau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.27% (-0.259 -0.26)29.73% (0.257 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.2% (-0.313 -0.31)65.79% (0.31200000000001 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Paris FC 37.85%
    Concarneau 35.05%
    Draw 27.08%
Paris FCDrawConcarneau
1-0 @ 10.6% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.74% (0.052 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.46% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.86% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 37.85%
1-1 @ 12.85% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.34% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.08%
0-1 @ 10.11% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.8% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.13% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.15% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.48% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 35.05%