Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Quevilly win with a probability of 36.55%. A win for Concarneau had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Quevilly win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.4%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Concarneau win was 0-1 (12.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.