Ligue 2 | Gameweek 14
Nov 11, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Charlety

Paris FC
1 - 0
Bastia

Kebbal (45+3' pen.)
Mandouki (34')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Okou (45+1')
Traore (89')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Paris FC and Bastia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris FC

All competitions
Last Game: St Etienne 0-1 Paris FC
Saturday, November 4 at 2pm in Ligue 2

Bastia

All competitions
Last Game: Bastia 3-1 Bordeaux
Saturday, November 4 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Paris FC in this match.

Result
Paris FCDrawBastia
43.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)26.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)29.87% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.28% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.57% (0.011000000000003 0.01)54.43% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.2% (0.010000000000002 0.01)75.8% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Paris FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.14%24.86% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.54%59.46%
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.91% (0.013999999999996 0.01)33.08% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.32% (0.016000000000002 0.02)69.68% (-0.014999999999986 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Paris FC 43.44%
    Bastia 29.87%
    Draw 26.68%
Paris FCDrawBastia
1-0 @ 11.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.09%
3-0 @ 3.7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.42%
4-0 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 43.44%
1-1 @ 12.66%
0-0 @ 8.22% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.68%
0-1 @ 9.1%
1-2 @ 7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.58% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.86% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 29.87%

Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 28
Paris FC
0-1
Bastia
Magri (66')
Nov 5, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 14
Bastia
0-1
Paris FC
Guilavogui (34')
Apr 22, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 35
Bastia
2-1
Paris FC
Guidi (15', 45+1')
Sainati (39')
Name (80')
O (55'), Guilavogui (69')
Dec 3, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 17
Paris FC
1-0
Bastia
Name (89' pen.)
Kante (55')

Vincent (34'), Guidi (58')