Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Paris FC in this match.