AC Ajaccio
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 9
Oct 2, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Francois Coty

Ajaccio
2 - 0
Bastia

Bammou (59'), Barreto (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Roncaglia (77')
Tavares (43')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Ajaccio and Bastia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajaccio

All competitions
Last Game: Amiens 0-0 Ajaccio
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Bastia

All competitions
Last Game: Bastia 1-4 Pau
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.66%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (11.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajaccio would win this match.

Result
AjaccioDrawBastia
37.37% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)28.97% (0.004999999999999 0)33.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 44.84% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.19% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)61.81% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.41% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)81.59% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.2% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)31.8% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.76% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)68.24% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.76% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)34.24% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)70.94% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ajaccio 37.36%
    Bastia 33.66%
    Draw 28.96%
AjaccioDrawBastia
1-0 @ 12.47%
2-1 @ 7.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 7.15%
3-1 @ 2.93% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 37.36%
1-1 @ 13.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.88%
2-2 @ 4.1% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.96%
0-1 @ 11.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 6.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.23%
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 33.66%

How you voted: Ajaccio vs Bastia

Ajaccio
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Bastia
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 28
Ajaccio
0-1
Bastia
Roncaglia (42')
Boyer (10'), Robic (26'), Palun (49'), Sylla (85'), Santelli (87')
Sep 25, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 10
Bastia
2-0
Ajaccio
Santelli (49' pen.), Schur (63')
Schur (61')

Courtet (34'), Kalulu (42'), Ismael (51')
Apr 20, 2014 4pm
Bastia
2-1
Ajaccio
Raspentino (32'), Squillaci (88')
Diakite (17')
Camara (4')
Faty (41'), Hengbart (67')
> Match Report
Dec 4, 2013 6pm
Ajaccio
1-1
Bastia
Eduardo (83')
Goncalves (7'), Dielna (37')
Nadeau (62')
Raspentino (9')
Palmieri (79')
> Match Report
Oct 29, 2013 5pm
Third Round
Bastia
1-0
Ajaccio
Araujo (7')
Krasic (38')
> Match Report