Ligue 2 | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Armand-Cesari
Troyes

Bastia
3 - 2
Troyes

Santelli (47'), Conte (70', 80')
Lienard (33'), Van Den Kerkhof (74')
FT(HT: 0-2)
de Preville (9' pen.), Zoukrou (29')
Ndiaye (90+7')
Kouame (12')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Troyes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bastia

All competitions
Last Game: Amiens 2-1 Bastia
Saturday, August 19 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Troyes

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Grenoble 0-0 Troyes
Saturday, August 19 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 45.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 26.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.

Result
BastiaDrawTroyes
45.78% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)27.55% (0.018999999999998 0.02)26.66% (0.061 0.06)
Both teams to score 45.88% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.87% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)59.13% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.43% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)79.57% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.19% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)25.81% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.24% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)60.76% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.84% (0.036000000000001 0.04)38.15% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.08% (0.036999999999999 0.04)74.92% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Bastia 45.78%
    Troyes 26.66%
    Draw 27.55%
BastiaDrawTroyes
1-0 @ 13.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.03% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 45.78%
1-1 @ 12.85% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.85% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.19%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.55%
0-1 @ 9.49% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.57% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.99% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.47% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 26.66%

Head to Head
Feb 6, 2016 7pm
Bastia
2-0
Troyes
Ayite (10', 83' pen.)
Leca (48')

Nivet (3'), Mavinga (85')
Darbion (60'), Camus (82')
Dec 12, 2015 7pm
Troyes
1-1
Bastia
Cabot (59')
Jean (39'), Martins Pereira (63')
Fofana (22')
Palmieri (26'), Squillaci (42'), Modesto (56'), Peybernes (87')
> Match Report
Feb 23, 2013 7pm
Troyes
0-0
Bastia
Yatabaré (61'), Marchal (68')
> Match Report
Oct 6, 2012 7pm
Bastia
3-2
Troyes
Maoulida (88'), Modeste (37'), Rincon (17' og.)
Angoula (33'), Choplin (47')
Dos Santos Pereira (25', 49')
N'Sakala (46')
N'Sakala (52'), Thiago (68')
> Match Report