Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angers would win this match.

Result
Angers	Draw	Bastia
41.11% ( 0.04)	26.96% ( -0.07)	31.92% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 50.28% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.16% (

0.27)

54.84% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.86% (

0.22)

76.14% (

-0.22)

Angers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.75% (

0.14)

26.25% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.64% (

0.19)

61.36% (

-0.19)

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.17% (

0.16)

31.83% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.74% (

0.18)

68.26% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Angers 41.11%

Bastia 31.92%

Draw 26.96%

Angers	Draw	Bastia
1-0 @ 11.17% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 41.11%	1-1 @ 12.79% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.96%	0-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.8% Total : 31.92%