Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 49.66%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Laval had a probability of 23.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Laval win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.