AC Ajaccio
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 7
Sep 23, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Francois Coty

Ajaccio
2 - 1
Paris FC

Jabol Folcarelli (56'), Bammou (67')
Mangani (60'), Marchetti (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hamel (58')
Chergui (37'), Doucet (37')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Ajaccio and Paris FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajaccio

All competitions
Last Game: Guingamp 3-0 Ajaccio
Monday, September 18 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Paris FC

All competitions
Last Game: Paris FC 3-0 Amiens
Saturday, September 16 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 36.38%. A win for Paris FC had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.28%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Paris FC win was 0-1 (12.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajaccio would win this match.

Result
AjaccioDrawParis FC
36.38% (-0.224 -0.22)29.87% (-0.119 -0.12)33.75% (0.341 0.34)
Both teams to score 42.43% (0.343 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.27% (0.391 0.39)64.73% (-0.39099999999999 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.3% (0.274 0.27)83.7% (-0.274 -0.27)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.04% (0.061999999999998 0.06)33.96% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.36% (0.064 0.06)70.63% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Paris FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.25% (0.458 0.46)35.75% (-0.457 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.48% (0.466 0.47)72.52% (-0.46599999999999 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Ajaccio 36.38%
    Paris FC 33.74%
    Draw 29.85%
AjaccioDrawParis FC
1-0 @ 13.11% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 7.28% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.08% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 2.62% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.55% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.35% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 36.38%
1-1 @ 13.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 12.13% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-2 @ 3.75% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 29.85%
0-1 @ 12.48% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.94% (0.083 0.08)
0-2 @ 6.42% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.38% (0.058 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 33.74%

Head to Head
Feb 7, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Paris FC
2-0
Ajaccio
Gory (54'), Guilavogui (62' pen.)
Boutaib (33')

Gonzalez (43'), Ismael (60')
Sep 14, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 5
Ajaccio
1-0
Paris FC
Gonzalez (89')

Bernauer (48')
Laura (90+5')
May 8, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 37
Ajaccio
1-1
Paris FC
Moussiti-Oko (39')
Barreto (55'), Youssouf (57')
Caddy (15')
Kante (27')
Jan 8, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 19
Paris FC
1-1
Ajaccio
Arab (90')
N'Diaye (38'), Belaud (79')
Moussiti-Oko (31')
Feb 4, 2020 8.05pm
Gameweek 23
Paris FC
2-3
Ajaccio
Menez (11' pen., 42')
Yohou (12'), Kante (54')
El Idrissy (7'), Laci (24'), Jallow (86')
El Idrissy (26'), Avinel (56')