Ligue 2 | Gameweek 11
Oct 21, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Paul Lignon

Rodez AF
1 - 1
Bastia

Depres (67')
Rajot (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Conte (3')
Ducrocq (55'), Placide (74')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Rodez AF and Bastia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rodez AF

All competitions
Last Game: Rodez AF 5-3 Caen
Saturday, October 7 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Bastia

All competitions
Last Game: Bastia 2-1 Annecy
Saturday, October 7 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rodez AF win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rodez AF win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Rodez AFDrawBastia
39.49% (0.046999999999997 0.05)27.59% (0.018000000000001 0.02)32.92% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Both teams to score 48.67% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)57% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.11% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)77.89% (0.062000000000012 0.06)
Rodez AF Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.84% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)28.16% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.15% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)63.85% (0.012 0.01)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.75% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)32.25% (0.083000000000006 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.26% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)68.74% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Rodez AF 39.48%
    Bastia 32.91%
    Draw 27.59%
Rodez AFDrawBastia
1-0 @ 11.5% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.29% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.08% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.11%
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 39.48%
1-1 @ 13.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.08% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.59%
0-1 @ 10.27%
1-2 @ 7.37% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 32.91%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 25
Rodez AF
0-2
Bastia
Kaiboue (25'), Vincent (60')
Aug 27, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 5
Bastia
0-2
Rodez AF

Ducrocq (5'), Guidi (55'), Vincent (74')
Depres (52'), Far (71')
Senaya (21'), Chougrani (82'), Cibois (83'), Coelho (84')
May 7, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 37
Bastia
0-1
Rodez AF

Robic (86')
Corredor (90+2')
Celestine (16'), Boissier (33')
Dec 21, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Rodez AF
0-0
Bastia
Malanda (50'), Buades (71')
Vincent (25'), Quemper (54'), Kaiboue (74')