Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Bastia win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Bastia	Draw	Bordeaux
29.03% ( -0)	27.79% ( 0)	43.18% ( 0)

Both teams to score 46.65% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.13% (

-0.01)

58.87% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.64% (

-0.01)

79.37% (

0.01)

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.92% (

-0.01)

36.08% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.14% (

-0.01)

72.86% (

0.01)

Bordeaux Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.98% (

-0)

27.02% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.62% (

-0.01)

62.38% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Bastia 29.03%

Bordeaux 43.17%

Draw 27.79%

Bastia	Draw	Bordeaux
1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.63% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.07% 3-1 @ 2.25% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.72% 3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 29.03%	1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0) Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.79%	0-1 @ 12.75% 1-2 @ 8.51% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.35% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.64% 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.21% 0-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.92% Total : 43.17%