Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Bastia win was 1-0 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Bastia	Draw	Auxerre
32.82% ( -0.1)	26.21% ( 0)	40.96% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 52.92% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.42% (

-0.04)

51.58% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.63% (

-0.04)

73.37% (

0.03)

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.42% (

-0.09)

29.58% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.39% (

-0.1)

65.61% (

0.1)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.15% (

0.03)

24.85% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.55% (

0.04)

59.44% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Bastia 32.82%

Auxerre 40.96%

Draw 26.2%

Bastia	Draw	Auxerre
1-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 32.82%	1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.2%	0-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 40.96%