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Ligue 1

Reims
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Dec 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Auguste-Delaune II
Le Havre

Reims
1 - 0
Le Havre

Nakamura (25')
Foket (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Casimir (54')
N'Diaye (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Reims and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reims

All competitions
Last Game: Lens 2-0 Reims
Saturday, December 16 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Le Havre

All competitions
Last Game: Le Havre 3-1 Nice
Saturday, December 16 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Reims in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Reims.

Result
ReimsDrawLe Havre
46.59% (0.039999999999999 0.04)25.4% (-0.023 -0.02)28% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.1% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.75% (0.070999999999998 0.07)50.24% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.8% (0.064 0.06)72.2% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Reims Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.43% (0.043999999999997 0.04)21.57% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.35% (0.073 0.07)54.65% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.7% (0.021999999999991 0.02)32.3% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.2% (0.024999999999999 0.02)68.8% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Reims 46.59%
    Le Havre 28%
    Draw 25.39%
ReimsDrawLe Havre
1-0 @ 10.68% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.19% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 46.59%
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.97% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 7.87% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.45% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 28%

How you voted: Reims vs Le Havre

Reims
64.0%
Draw
24.0%
Le Havre
12.0%
25
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2018 6pm
Reims
0-1
Le Havre

Chavarria (90')
Moukoudi (11')
Youga (90')
Nov 6, 2017 7.45pm
Le Havre
0-0
Reims
Lekhal (57')
Ndom (71')
Ndom (76')