Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 48.3%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Frosinone | Draw | Roma |
25.97% ( 0.21) | 25.73% ( 0.01) | 48.3% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 50.5% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.12% ( 0.09) | 52.88% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.51% ( 0.08) | 74.49% ( -0.08) |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.67% ( 0.22) | 35.33% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.91% ( 0.23) | 72.09% ( -0.23) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.09% ( -0.06) | 21.9% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.83% ( -0.09) | 55.16% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Frosinone | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.03% Total : 25.97% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.28% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.92% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 48.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |