Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 25

Feb 18, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadio Benito Stirpe

Frosinone
0 - 3
Roma

FT(HT: 0-1)

Huijsen (38'), Azmoun (71'), Paredes (81' pen.)
Huijsen (39'), Mancini (66'), Azmoun (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Frosinone and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Frosinone

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 5-1 Frosinone
Sunday, February 11 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Feyenoord 1-1 Roma
Thursday, February 15 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 48.3%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Frosinone	Draw	Roma
25.97% ( 0.21)	25.73% ( 0.01)	48.3% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 50.5% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.12% (

0.09)

52.88% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.51% (

0.08)

74.49% (

-0.08)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.67% (

0.22)

35.33% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.91% (

0.23)

72.09% (

-0.23)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.09% (

-0.06)

21.9% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.83% (

-0.09)

55.16% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Frosinone 25.97%

Roma 48.3%

Draw 25.72%

Frosinone	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.03% Total : 25.97%	1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.72%	0-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.28% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.92% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 48.3%