Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 24

Feb 11, 2024 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
5 - 1
Frosinone

Belotti (16'), Ikone (19'), Martinez (43'), Gonzalez (53'), Barak (85')
Martinez (4'), Terracciano (69'), N'Zola (90+2')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Mazzitelli (66')
Romagnoli (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Frosinone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lecce 3-2 Fiorentina
Friday, February 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Frosinone

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Frosinone 2-3 AC Milan
Saturday, February 3 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 65.42%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 15.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Frosinone win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Frosinone
65.42% ( 0.13)	19.48% ( -0.07)	15.1% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 53.5% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.55% (

0.15)

40.45% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.17% (

0.15)

62.82% (

-0.16)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.41% (

0.08)

11.58% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.44% (

0.17)

36.55% (

-0.17)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.5% (

-0)

39.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.81% (

-0)

76.18%

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 65.41%

Frosinone 15.1%

Draw 19.48%

Fiorentina	Draw	Frosinone
2-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.89% Total : 65.41%	1-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.48%	1-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.42% 1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 15.1%