Serie A Gameweek 23
Lecce
Feb 2, 2024 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Fiorentina
  • Remi Oudin 17' goal
  • Pontus Almqvist 50' yellowcard
  • Lameck Banda 77' yellowcard
  • Valentin Gendrey 82' yellowcard
  • Roberto Piccoli 90' goal
  • Patrick Dorgu 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Martinez 15'
  • goal Rolando Mandragora 50'
  • goal Lucas Beltran 67'
  • yellowcard Luca Ranieri 72'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Gonzalez 90'

Lecce vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Jan 28, 2024 11.30am
Genoa 2 - 1 Lecce
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Nikola Krstovic

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
Jan 28, 2024 7.45pm
Fiorentina 0 - 1 Inter Milan
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Nicolas Gonzalez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result

Lecce 27.65% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 26.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Fiorentina 45.82% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.41% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.07% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 54.93% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 23.78% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 76.22% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 4.5 10.59% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 89.4% ▲ (+0.02)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5 64.94% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 35.06% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 28.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 71.81% ▲ (+0.04)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 76.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 23.92% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 41.86% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 58.14% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Lecce 27.65%
Draw 26.53%
Fiorentina 45.81%
Lecce
1-0 @ 8.79% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.59% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 27.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 8.39% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.53%
Fiorentina
0-1 @ 11.99% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.99%
0-2 @ 8.58% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.29% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 45.81%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 2
Fiorentina
Aug 27, 2023 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
Lecce
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 3' goal
  • Alfred Duncan 25' goal
  • Lucas Martinez 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marin Pongracic 15'
  • goal Hamza Rafia 49'
  • yellowcard Valentin Gendrey 54'
  • yellowcard Patrick Chinazaekpere Dorgu 63'
  • goal Nikola Krstovic 76'
Serie A Gameweek 27
Fiorentina
Mar 19, 2023 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
Lecce
  • Antonino Gallo 27' goal
Serie A Gameweek 10
Lecce
Oct 17, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Fiorentina
  • Assan Ceesay 43' goal
  • goal Christian Kouame 48'
Serie A Gameweek 33
Lecce
Jul 15, 2020 8.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT Via del Mare
Fiorentina
  • Gabriel 10' yellowcard
  • Khouma Babacar 21' yellowcard
  • Giulio Donati 36' yellowcard
  • Evgeniy Shakhov 88' goal
  • goal Federico Chiesa 6'
  • yellowcard Franck Ribery 10'
  • yellowcard Rachid Ghezzal 27'
  • goal Rachid Ghezzal 38'
  • goal Patrick Cutrone 40'
Serie A Gameweek 14
Fiorentina
Nov 30, 2019 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi (Firenze)
Lecce
  • Gaetano Castrovilli 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andrea Rispoli 29'
  • goal Andrea La Mantia 49'
  • yellowcard Jacopo Petriccione 60'
  • yellowcard Luca Rossettini 69'

Form Data

Genoa 2 - 1 Lecce
Lecce 0 - 3 Juventus
Lazio 1 - 0 Lecce
Lecce 1 - 1 Cagliari
Atalanta 1 - 0 Lecce
Inter Milan 2 - 0 Lecce
Fiorentina 0 - 1 Inter Milan
Napoli 3 - 0 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 2 - 2 Udinese
Fiorentina 0 - 0 Bologna
Sassuolo 1 - 0 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 1 - 0 Torino