Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 23

Feb 2, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
3 - 2
Fiorentina

Oudin (17'), Piccoli (90'), Dorgu (90+2')
Almqvist (50'), Banda (77'), Gendrey (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mandragora (50'), Beltran (67')
Martinez (15'), Ranieri (72'), Gonzalez (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Genoa 2-1 Lecce
Sunday, January 28 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 0-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, January 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Fiorentina
27.65% ( -0.02)	26.54% ( 0.01)	45.82% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 49.41% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.07% (

-0.03)

54.93% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.78% (

-0.03)

76.22% (

0.03)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.94% (

-0.03)

35.06% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.19% (

-0.03)

71.81% (

0.03)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.08% (

-0)

23.92% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.86% (

-0.01)

58.14% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Lecce 27.65%

Fiorentina 45.81%

Draw 26.53%

Lecce	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 8.79% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.59% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.61% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.3% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 27.65%	1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.53%	0-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.99% 0-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.09% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 45.81%