Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Fiorentina |
27.65% ( -0.02) | 26.54% ( 0.01) | 45.82% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.41% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.07% ( -0.03) | 54.93% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.78% ( -0.03) | 76.22% ( 0.03) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.94% ( -0.03) | 35.06% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.19% ( -0.03) | 71.81% ( 0.03) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.08% ( -0) | 23.92% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.86% ( -0.01) | 58.14% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 8.79% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.59% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.61% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.3% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 27.65% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.53% | 0-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.99% 0-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.09% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 45.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
7 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |