Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 22

Jan 28, 2024 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
2 - 1
Lecce

Retegui (70'), Ekuban (76')
Gilardino (71')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Krstovic (31')
Krstovic (57'), Ramadani (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: Salernitana 1-2 Genoa
Sunday, January 21 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 0-3 Juventus
Sunday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 52.61%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 21.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Genoa in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Genoa.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Lecce
52.61% ( 0.01)	26.36% ( 0)	21.03% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 43.65% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.81% (

-0.01)

59.2% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.38% (

-0)

79.62% (

0.01)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.34% (

22.66% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.7% (

56.3% (

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.44% (

-0.01)

43.57% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.24% (

-0.01)

79.77% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Genoa 52.6%

Lecce 21.03%

Draw 26.36%

Genoa	Draw	Lecce
1-0 @ 14.65% 2-0 @ 10.87% 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.38% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.47% 4-0 @ 2% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.67% Total : 52.6%	1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 9.87% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0) Other @ 0.56% Total : 26.36%	0-1 @ 8.2% 1-2 @ 5.06% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.41% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.98% Total : 21.03%