Serie A Gameweek 22
Genoa
Jan 28, 2024 11.30am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Lecce
  • Mateo Retegui 70' goal
  • Alberto Gilardino 71' yellowcard
  • Caleb Ekuban 76' goal
  • goal Nikola Krstovic 31'
  • yellowcard Nikola Krstovic 57'
  • yellowcard Ylber Ramadani 90'+5'

Genoa vs Lecce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions
Last game
Jan 21, 2024 5.00pm
Salernitana 1 - 2 Genoa
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Albert Gudmundsson

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Jan 21, 2024 7.45pm
Lecce 0 - 3 Juventus
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Nikola Krstovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 52.61%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 21.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Genoa in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Genoa.

Result

Genoa 52.61% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 26.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Lecce 21.03% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.65% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.81% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 59.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 20.38% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 79.62% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 8.56% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 91.44% ▲ (+0.01)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5 77.34% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 22.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 43.7% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 56.3% ▲ (+0.01)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5 56.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 43.57% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 20.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 79.77% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Genoa 52.6%
Draw 26.36%
Lecce 21.03%
Genoa
1-0 @ 14.65%
2-0 @ 10.87%
2-1 @ 9.04% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.47%
4-0 @ 2% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 52.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.17%
0-0 @ 9.87% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 26.36%
Lecce
0-1 @ 8.2%
1-2 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 21.03%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 5
Lecce
Sep 22, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Genoa
  • Pontus Almqvist 58' yellowcard
  • Remi Oudin 83' goal
  • yellowcard Koni De Winter 7'
  • yellowcard Aaron Caricol 9'
  • redcard Aaron Caricol 36'
Serie A Gameweek 34
Genoa
Jul 19, 2020 6.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Luigi Ferraris
Lecce
  • Antonio Sanabria 7' goal
  • Lukas Lerager 15' yellowcard
  • Cristian Romero 64' yellowcard
  • Gabriel 81' goal
  • yellowcard Jacopo Petriccione 35'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Saponara 44'
  • yellowcard Fabio Lucioni 52'
  • goal Marco Mancosu 60'
Serie A Gameweek 15
Lecce
Dec 8, 2019 11.30am
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare (Lecce)
Genoa
  • Andrea La Mantia 21' yellowcard
  • Fabio Lucioni 45' yellowcard
  • Panagiotis Tachtsidis 55' yellowcard
  • Filippo Falco 60' goal
  • Jacopo Petriccione 65' yellowcard
  • Andrea Tabanelli 70' goal
  • Andrea Tabanelli 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marko Pajac 14'
  • yellowcard Kevin Agudelo 18'
  • goal Goran Pandev 31'
  • goal Domenico Criscito 45'
  • yellowcard Domenico Criscito 67'
  • redcard Kevin Agudelo 69'
  • yellowcard Goran Pandev 73'
  • redcard Goran Pandev 77'
Coppa Italia
Genoa
Aug 11, 2018 8.15pm
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT
Lecce
  • Krzysztof Piatek 2' goal
  • Krzysztof Piatek 9' goal
  • Krzysztof Piatek 19' goal
  • Krzysztof Piatek 37' goal

Form Data

Salernitana 1 - 2 Genoa
Genoa 0 - 0 Torino
Bologna 1 - 1 Genoa
Genoa 1 - 1 Inter Milan
Sassuolo 1 - 2 Genoa
Genoa 1 - 1 Juventus
Lecce 0 - 3 Juventus
Lazio 1 - 0 Lecce
Lecce 1 - 1 Cagliari
Atalanta 1 - 0 Lecce
Inter Milan 2 - 0 Lecce
Lecce 2 - 1 Frosinone