Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 73.58%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 10.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 3-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-2 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 73.58% ( | 15.9% ( | 10.51% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.03% ( | 34.96% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.05% ( | 56.95% ( |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.84% ( | 8.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.39% ( | 28.61% ( |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.97% ( | 43.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.68% ( | 79.31% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 2-0 @ 11.02% ( 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 3-0 @ 9.21% ( 1-0 @ 8.8% ( 3-1 @ 7.77% ( 4-0 @ 5.77% ( 4-1 @ 4.87% ( 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 5-0 @ 2.89% ( 5-1 @ 2.44% ( 4-2 @ 2.05% ( 6-0 @ 1.21% ( 5-2 @ 1.03% ( 6-1 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.94% Total : 73.57% | 1-1 @ 7.42% ( 2-2 @ 3.92% ( 0-0 @ 3.51% ( 3-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 15.9% | 1-2 @ 3.13% ( 0-1 @ 2.96% ( 0-2 @ 1.25% ( 2-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.08% Total : 10.52% |