Championship

Championship | Gameweek 1

Aug 12, 2024 at 8pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
1 - 4
Burnley

Chong (55')
Nelson (51'), Chong (60')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Brownhill (6'), Odobert (37'), O'Shea (72'), Vitinho (80')
Trafford (43'), Pires (59'), Cullen (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 1-3 Celta Vigo
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Burnley

All competitions

Last Game: Cadiz 1-1 Burnley
Sunday, August 4 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Burnley
44.72% ( 0.63)	24.12% ( 0.02)	31.16% ( -0.65)

Both teams to score 59.32% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.04% (

-0.37)

42.95% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.64% (

-0.37)

65.35% (

0.37)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.6% (

0.12)

19.4% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.79% (

0.19)

51.21% (

-0.19)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.6% (

-0.59)

26.4% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.44% (

-0.79)

61.56% (

0.79)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 44.72%

Burnley 31.16%

Draw 24.11%

Luton Town	Draw	Burnley
2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 44.72%	1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.11%	1-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 6.82% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.31% Total : 31.16%