Club Friendlies 2
Jul 20, 2024 at 4pm UK
Goztepe Gursel Aksel Stadi (Izmir)
Luton Town

Goztepe SK
3 - 2
Luton

Kanatsizkus (25'), Cardoso (29'), Kayan (54')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Nelson (72', 89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Goztepe SK and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fehervar 2-2 Goztepe SK
Wednesday, July 17 at 9.30am in Club Friendlies 2
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Rukh Lviv
Tuesday, July 16 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goztepe SK win with a probability of 68.39%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 12.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Goztepe SK win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Goztepe SK would win this match.

Result
Goztepe SKDrawLuton Town
68.39% (0.322 0.32)18.73% (-0.14 -0.14)12.88% (-0.183 -0.18)
Both teams to score 49.98% (-0.058 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.98% (0.2 0.2)42.02% (-0.199 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.58% (0.201 0.2)64.42% (-0.2 -0.2)
Goztepe SK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.75% (0.14200000000001 0.14)11.24% (-0.141 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.18% (0.31100000000001 0.31)35.82% (-0.309 -0.31)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.31% (-0.155 -0.16)43.69% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.13% (-0.128 -0.13)79.87% (0.12899999999999 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Goztepe SK 68.38%
    Luton Town 12.88%
    Draw 18.73%
Goztepe SKDrawLuton Town
2-0 @ 11.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 10.73% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.55% (0.071 0.07)
3-1 @ 7.08% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.67% (0.065 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.87% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.04% (0.04 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.69% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 68.38%
1-1 @ 8.89% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.91% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 18.73%
0-1 @ 4.07% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-2 @ 3.68% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-2 @ 1.68% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 12.88%