Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 56.14%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 23.12% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.3%) and 1-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-2 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wolverhampton Wanderers in this match.