Premier League Gameweek 30
Mar 30, 2024 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Villa Park
  • Youri Tielemans 30' yellowcard
  • Moussa Diaby 36' goal
  • Ezri Konsa 65' goal
  • Jhon Duran 84' yellowcard
  • Lucas Digne 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pablo Sarabia 19'
  • yellowcard Tawanda Chirewa 81'
  • yellowcard Max Kilman 84'
  • yellowcard Toti Gomes 90'+1'

Aston Villa vs Wolverhampton Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Mar 17, 2024 2.00pm
West Ham 1 - 1 Aston Villa
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Wolverhampton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
Wolves 2 - 1 Fulham
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Hwang Hee-chan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 65.6%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 15.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 1-0 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result

Aston Villa 65.6% (+0.01)
Draw 18.43% (-0.01)
Wolverhampton Wanderers 15.97% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.67% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.5% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 33.5% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 44.71% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 55.3% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 26.04% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 73.96% (-0.03)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 90.43% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 9.57% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 67.97% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 32.03% (-0.02)

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 65.99% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 34.01% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 29.31% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 70.69% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 65.6%
Draw 18.43%
Wolverhampton Wanderers 15.97%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.96% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.64% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.56% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.01% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 4.43% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.11%
3-2 @ 4.08% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.39% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.08% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.93%
5-2 @ 1.12% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.62%
Total : 65.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.24% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.21% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.26% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.47% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 18.43%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1-2 @ 4.44% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 3.51% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.89% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.87% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.6% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 15.97%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Molineux Stadium
  • Craig Dawson 28' yellowcard
  • Hwang Hee-chan 53' goal
  • Mario Lemina 62' yellowcard
  • Nelson Semedo 67' yellowcard
  • Mario Lemina 90'+4' redcard
  • Sasa Kalajdzic 90'+14' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Boubacar Kamara 6'
  • yellowcard John McGinn 29'
  • goal Pau Torres 55'
Premier League Gameweek 35
May 6, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Tote Gomes 9' goal
Premier League Gameweek 19
Jan 4, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Danny Ings 78' goal
  • goal Daniel Podence 12'
Premier League Gameweek 31
Apr 2, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jonny Castro 7' goal
  • Conor Coady 25' yellowcard
  • Ashley Young 36' goal
  • Jonny Castro 66' yellowcard
  • Fernando Marcal 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Pedro Neto 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard John McGinn 38'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 86'
  • yellowcard Ashley Young 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Ezri Konsa 90'+4'
Premier League Gameweek 8
Oct 16, 2021 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Danny Ings 48' goal
  • Tyrone Mings 61' yellowcard
  • John McGinn 68' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ruben Neves 52'
  • goal Romain Saiss 80'
  • goal Conor Coady 85'
  • yellowcard Leander Dendoncker 88'
  • goal Ruben Neves 90'+5'
Premier League Gameweek 27
Mar 6, 2021 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Morgan Sanson 27' yellowcard