Premier League
Gameweek
29
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-
Issa Kabore
30'
-
Luke Berry
89'
-
Chris Wood
34'
-
Harry Toffolo
84'
-
Matz Sels
90'
Luton Town vs Nottingham Forest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
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Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
Luton Town
42.29%
▲
(+0.18)
Draw
23.83%
▼
(-0.01)
Nottingham Forest
33.88%
▼
(-0.17)
Both Teams to Score:
61.5%
▼
(-0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.42%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
40.58%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
37.04%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
62.96%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 4.5
19.81%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
80.19%
▲
(+0.01)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5
80.53%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
19.47%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
48.67%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 1.5
51.33%
▼
(-0.12)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5
76.37%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 0.5
23.64%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
42.27%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 1.5
57.73%
▲
(+0.15)
Score analysis
Luton Town
42.29%
Draw
23.83%
Nottingham Forest
33.88%
Luton Town
2-1
@
8.89%
▲
(+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.85% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 42.29%
1-0 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.85% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 42.29%
Draw
1-1
@
10.86%
2-2 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.83%
2-2 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.83%
Nottingham Forest
1-2
@
7.83%
▼
(-0.03)
0-1 @ 6.64% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 33.88%
0-1 @ 6.64% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 33.88%
Head to Head
Premier League
Gameweek
9
-
Chris Wood
48'
-
Ibrahim Sangare
60'
-
Chris Wood
76'
-
Morgan Gibbs-White
82'
-
Murillo
90'+8'
-
Chiedozie Ogbene
83'
-
Elijah Adebayo
90'+2'
Championship
Gameweek
42
-
Sonny Bradley
26'
-
Kal Naismith
37'
-
Kal Naismith
49'
-
Fred Onyedinma
56'
-
Reece Burke
63'
-
Allan Campbell
63'
-
James Shea
69'
-
Sonny Bradley
77'
-
Elijah Adebayo
90'+3'
-
James Garner
44'
-
Keinan Davis
63'
-
Joe Worrall
74'
-
Tobias Figueiredo
90'+6'
Championship
Gameweek
19
-
Lyle Taylor
26'
-
Jack Colback
47'
-
Scott McKenna
55'
-
Jack Colback
61'
-
Tom Lockyer
45'+1'
-
Pelly Ruddock
68'
-
Sonny Bradley
90'+3'
Championship
Gameweek
34
-
Kal Naismith
61'
-
Ryan Tunnicliffe
64'
Championship
Gameweek
8
-
Glen Rea
22'
-
Pelly Ruddock
55'
-
Martin Cranie
71'
-
Glen Rea
73'
-
Nicholas Ioannou
44'
-
Glen Rea
64'
(OG)
Championship
Gameweek
28
-
Joe Lolley
36'
-
Joe Lolley
57'
-
Lewis Grabban
90'
-
Harry Cornick
23'
-
Glen Rea
35'
-
Ryan Tunnicliffe
88'
-
Daniel Potts
93'