Premier League Gameweek 17
Bournemouth
Mar 13, 2024 7.30pm
4
3
HT : 0 15
FT Vitality Stadium
Luton
  • Dominic Solanke 50' goal
  • Dominic Solanke 58' goal
  • Dominic Solanke 58' goal
  • Dominic Solanke 58' goal
  • Dominic Solanke 58' goal
  • Dominic Solanke 58' goal
  • Dominic Solanke 58' goal
  • Dominic Solanke 58' goal
  • Dominic Solanke 58' goal
  • Dominic Solanke 58' goal
  • Dominic Solanke 58' goal
  • Dominic Solanke 58' goal
  • Dominic Solanke 58' goal
  • Illia Zabarnyi 62' goal
  • Antoine Semenyo 64' goal
  • Adam Smith 69' yellowcard
  • Antoine Semenyo 83' goal
  • goal Elijah Adebayo 3'
  • goal Elijah Adebayo 3'
  • goal Elijah Adebayo 3'
  • goal Elijah Adebayo 3'
  • goal Elijah Adebayo 3'
  • goal Elijah Adebayo 3'
  • goal Elijah Adebayo 3'
  • goal Elijah Adebayo 3'
  • goal Elijah Adebayo 3'
  • goal Elijah Adebayo 3'
  • goal Elijah Adebayo 3'
  • goal Elijah Adebayo 3'
  • goal Tahith Chong 9'
  • yellowcard Alfie Doughty 12'
  • yellowcard Alfie Doughty 12'
  • yellowcard Alfie Doughty 12'
  • yellowcard Alfie Doughty 12'
  • yellowcard Alfie Doughty 12'
  • yellowcard Alfie Doughty 12'
  • yellowcard Alfie Doughty 12'
  • yellowcard Alfie Doughty 12'
  • yellowcard Alfie Doughty 12'
  • yellowcard Alfie Doughty 12'
  • yellowcard Alfie Doughty 12'
  • yellowcard Jordan Clark 30'
  • goal Chiedozie Ogbene 31'
  • goal Ross Barkley 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Chiedozie Ogbene 66'

Bournemouth vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions
Last game
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
Bournemouth 2 - 2 Sheff Utd
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Dominic Solanke

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
Crystal Palace 1 - 1 Luton
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Elijah Adebayo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 57.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-2 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result

Bournemouth 57.33% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 21.57% ▲ (+0.04)
Luton Town 21.1% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.25% ▼ (-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.1% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 39.9% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 37.74% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 3.5 62.26% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 4.5 20.36% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 4.5 79.65% ▲ (+0.15)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5 86.27% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 13.73% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 59.01% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 1.5 41% ▲ (+0.15)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 67.52% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 32.48% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 1.5 30.99% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 69.01% ▲ (+0.12)

Score analysis

Bournemouth 57.33%
Draw 21.57%
Luton Town 21.1%
Bournemouth
2-1 @ 9.89% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 8.79% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.54% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.82% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 57.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.96% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.46% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.57%
Luton Town
1-2 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 21.1%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 27
Luton
Jan 15, 2022 12.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT
Bournemouth
  • Lloyd Kelly 30' goal
  • Allan Campbell 42' goal
  • Kal Naismith 90'+6' goal
  • goal Emiliano Marcondes 51'
  • goal Morgan Rogers 78'
  • yellowcard Jefferson Lerma 81'
  • yellowcard Ryan Christie 89'
Championship Gameweek 9
Bournemouth
Sep 25, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Luton
  • Philip Billing 17' goal
  • Dominic Solanke 31' goal
  • Ben Pearson 49' yellowcard
  • Jamal Lowe 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Reece Burke 64'
Championship Gameweek 24
Bournemouth
Jan 16, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Vitality Stadium
Luton
  • Jefferson Lerma 26' redcard
  • Philip Billing 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 67'
  • yellowcard Matty Pearson 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Danny Hylton 90'+6'
Championship Gameweek 20
Luton
Dec 19, 2020 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
Bournemouth
  • Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jefferson Lerma 67'
FA Cup Gameweek 3
Bournemouth
Jan 4, 2020 5.31pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Luton
  • Philip Billing 8' goal
  • Philip Billing 41' yellowcard
  • Callum Wilson 67' goal
  • Philip Billing 79' goal
  • Dominic Solanke 82' goal
  • yellowcard Lloyd Jones 41'
League Two
Bournemouth
Jan 27, 2009 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Luton
  • Danny Hollands 29' goal
  • Jason Pearce 71' yellowcard
  • Shaun Cooper 81' yellowcard
  • goal Danny Hollands 11' (OG)
  • yellowcard Kevin Nicholls 27'
  • yellowcard Asa Hall 43'
  • yellowcard Ian Roper 50'

Form Data

Bournemouth 2 - 2 Sheff Utd
Burnley 0 - 2 Bournemouth
Bournemouth 0 - 1 Leicester
Bournemouth 0 - 1 Man City
Newcastle 2 - 2 Bournemouth
Fulham 3 - 1 Bournemouth
Crystal Palace 1 - 1 Luton
Luton 2 - 3 Aston Villa
Luton 2 - 6 Man City
Liverpool 4 - 1 Luton
Luton 1 - 2 Man Utd
Luton 1 - 3 Sheff Utd

Build-up

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