Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 37.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.9%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Brentford |
| 38.89% ( | 23.7% ( | 37.41% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.6% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.6% ( | 39.4% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.26% ( | 61.74% ( |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.48% ( | 20.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.98% ( | 53.02% ( |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.76% ( | 21.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.86% | 54.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Brentford |
| 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 1-0 @ 6.9% ( 2-0 @ 5.47% 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 3-0 @ 2.89% ( 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 4-2 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.95% Total : 38.89% | 1-1 @ 10.69% 2-2 @ 6.56% 0-0 @ 4.36% ( 3-3 @ 1.79% ( Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.7% | 1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0-1 @ 6.75% ( 0-2 @ 5.23% ( 1-3 @ 4.28% 2-3 @ 3.39% 0-3 @ 2.7% ( 1-4 @ 1.66% ( 2-4 @ 1.31% 0-4 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 37.41% |