Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 32

Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
3 - 3
Brentford

Watkins (38', 80'), Rogers (46')
Carlos (84'), Luiz (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Jorgensen (59'), Mbeumo (61'), Wissa (68')
Damsgaard (42'), Wissa (53')

Reaction

Aston Villa's Ollie Watkins celebrates scoring against Brentford on April 6, 2024

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Apr 6, 17:28

The Match

Match Report

Relegation-threatened Brentford come from two goals behind to draw 3-3 with Champions League-chasing Aston Villa at Villa Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Man City 4-1 Aston Villa
Wednesday, April 3 at 8.15pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brentford

All competitions

Last Game: Brentford 0-0 Brighton
Wednesday, April 3 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 65.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 15.67%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 1-0 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Brentford
65.56% ( -0.04)	18.76% ( 0.02)	15.67% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 57.61% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.2% (

-0.05)

35.79% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.13% (

-0.06)

57.87% (

0.06)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.78% (

-0.03)

10.22% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.47% (

-0.06)

33.52% (

0.06)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.17% (

-0.01)

35.83% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.39% (

-0.01)

72.6% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 65.56%

Brentford 15.67%

Draw 18.76%

Aston Villa	Draw	Brentford
2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.24% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 4.07% Total : 65.56%	1-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 18.76%	1-2 @ 4.4% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.93% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 15.67%