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Daiki Hashioka
2'
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Kevin De Bruyne
43'
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Mateo Kovacic
64'
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Erling Haaland
76'
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Jeremy Doku
87'
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Josko Gvardiol
90'+3'
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Ross Barkley
81'
Manchester City vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 88.88%. A draw had a probability of 7.6% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 3.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.43%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-2 (1.16%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Manchester City Goals
Luton Town Goals
Score analysis
4-0 @ 9.68% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.04% ▼ (-0.15)
3-1 @ 7.34% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 6.94% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 6.57% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.07)
1-0 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.13)
5-1 @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.07)
6-0 @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.07)
6-1 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.03)
7-0 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.05)
5-2 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.03)
7-1 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 5.77%
Total : 88.88%
2-2 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 7.58%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 3.53%