Champions League
Real Madrid
Apr 9, 2024 8.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Man City
  • Aurelien Tchouameni 1' yellowcard
  • Ruben Dias 12' goal
  • Rodrygo 14' goal
  • Federico Valverde 79' goal
  • Dani Carvajal 81' yellowcard
  • goal Bernardo Silva 2'
  • yellowcard Manuel Akanji 37'
  • goal Phil Foden 66'
  • goal Josko Gvardiol 71'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Silva 88'

Real Madrid vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

Manchester City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 44.24%. A win for Manchester City had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Manchester City win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Real Madrid 44.24% ▲ (+0.17)
Draw 23.91% ▲ (+0.02)
Manchester City 31.84% ▼ (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.37% ▼ (-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.28% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 41.71% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 35.88% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 3.5 64.12% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 4.5 18.93% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 4.5 81.07% ▲ (+0.12)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 80.9% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 19.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 49.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 50.72% ▼ (-0.02)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 74.63% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 0.5 25.37% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 1.5 39.83% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 1.5 60.17% ▲ (+0.25)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 44.24%
Draw 23.91%
Manchester City 31.84%
Real Madrid
2-1 @ 9.11% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.02% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 6.64% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.03% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.67% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 44.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 11% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.25% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.85% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.91%
Manchester City
1-2 @ 7.55% ▼ (-0.03)
0-1 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 31.84%

Head to Head

Champions League
Man City
May 17, 2023 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Real Madrid
  • Bernardo Silva 23' goal
  • Bernardo Silva 37' goal
  • Manuel Akanji 76' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 90'+1' goal
Champions League
Real Madrid
May 9, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Man City
  • Vinicius Junior 36' goal
  • goal Kevin De Bruyne 67'
Champions League
Real Madrid
May 4, 2022 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Man City
  • Luka Modric 9' yellowcard
  • Dani Carvajal 65' yellowcard
  • Eder Militao 84' yellowcard
  • Rodrygo 90' goal
  • Rodrygo 90'+1' goal
  • Karim Benzema 95' goal
  • Federico Valverde 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aymeric Laporte 9'
  • goal Riyad Mahrez 73'
  • yellowcard Raheem Sterling 101'
  • yellowcard Oleksandr Zinchenko 113'
Champions League
Man City
Apr 26, 2022 8.00pm
4
3
HT : 2 1
FT Etihad Stadium
Real Madrid
  • Kevin De Bruyne 2' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 11' goal
  • Phil Foden 53' goal
  • Pep Guardiola 54' yellowcard
  • Bernardo Silva 74' goal
  • Fernandinho 81' yellowcard
  • goal Karim Benzema 33'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 55'
  • goal Karim Benzema 82'
  • yellowcard Nacho 90'+3'
Champions League
Man City
Aug 7, 2020 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Real Madrid
  • Raheem Sterling 9' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 68' goal
  • goal Karim Benzema 28'
  • yellowcard Luka Modric 81'
Champions League
Real Madrid
Feb 26, 2020 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Man City
  • Federico Valverde 48' yellowcard
  • Luka Modric 54' yellowcard
  • Isco 60' goal
  • Sergio Ramos 86' redcard
  • yellowcard Benjamin Mendy 29'
  • goal Gabriel Jesus 78'
  • goal Kevin De Bruyne 83'

Form Data

Real Madrid 2 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Osasuna 2 - 4 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 4 - 0 Celta Vigo
Real Madrid 1 - 1 RB Leipzig
Valencia 2 - 2 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 1 - 0 Sevilla
Crystal Palace 2 - 4 Man City
Man City 4 - 1 Aston Villa
Man City 0 - 0 Arsenal
Man City 2 - 0 Newcastle
Liverpool 1 - 1 Man City
Man City 3 - 1 Copenhagen

Build-up

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