La Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 2, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Roman Yaremchuk 4' yellowcard
  • Hugo Duro 27' goal
  • Roman Yaremchuk 30' goal
  • Mouctar Diakhaby 83' yellowcard
  • goal Vinicius Junior 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 72'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 76'
  • yellowcard Federico Valverde 80'
  • yellowcard Joselu 90'+10'
  • redcard Jude Bellingham 90'+10'

Valencia vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions
Last game
Feb 17, 2024 8.00pm
Valencia 0 - 0 Sevilla
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Hugo Duro

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2024 8.00pm
Real Madrid 1 - 0 Sevilla
Goals scored
87
Top scorer
Jude Bellingham

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 24.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.46%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result

Valencia 24.16% (+0.02)
Draw 25.45% (+0.06)
Real Madrid 50.39% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.65% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.84% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 53.16% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 25.27% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 74.73% (+0.18)
Over 4.5 11.53% (-0.12)
Under 4.5 88.47% (+0.12)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5 62.94% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 37.06% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 26.15% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 73.85% (+0.11)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 78.89% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 21.11% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 46.05% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 53.95% (+0.18)

Score analysis

Valencia 24.16%
Draw 25.45%
Real Madrid 50.39%
Valencia
1-0 @ 7.77% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 6% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.86% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.98% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 24.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.08% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.82% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.45%
Real Madrid
0-1 @ 12.16% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 9.46% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.39% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.91% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.87% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.91% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.89% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 50.39%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 13
Nov 11, 2023 8.00pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
  • Dani Carvajal 3' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 42' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 49' goal
  • Rodrygo 50' goal
  • Eduardo Camavinga 62' yellowcard
  • Rodrygo 84' goal
  • yellowcard Pepelu 34'
  • yellowcard Dimitri Foulquier 56'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Paulista 67'
  • goal Hugo Duro 88'
La Liga Gameweek 35
May 21, 2023 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Diego Lopez 33' goal
La Liga Gameweek 17
Feb 2, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Marco Asensio 52' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 54' goal
Supercopa de Espana
Jan 11, 2023 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
ET
  • Karim Benzema 39' goal
  • goal Samuel Lino 46'
La Liga Gameweek 20
Jan 8, 2022 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Casemiro 14' yellowcard
  • Eder Militao 26' yellowcard
  • Karim Benzema 43' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 52' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 61' goal
  • Ferland Mendy 75' yellowcard
  • Karim Benzema 88' goal
  • yellowcard Cristiano Piccini 51'
  • yellowcard Yunus Musah 58'
  • goal Goncalo Guedes 76'
  • yellowcard Denis Cheryshev 84'
La Liga Gameweek 5
Sep 19, 2021 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Gabriel Paulista 39' yellowcard
  • Hugo Duro 66' goal
  • yellowcard Casemiro 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Nacho 56'
  • yellowcard Rodrygo 81'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 86'
  • goal Karim Benzema 88'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Camavinga 90'+3'

Build-up

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