La Liga Gameweek 25
Feb 18, 2024 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Raul de Tomas 27' goal
  • Isi 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Ivan Balliu 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Raul de Tomas 81' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Garcia 82' yellowcard
  • goal Joselu 3'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Camavinga 61'
  • yellowcard Dani Carvajal 90'+3'
  • redcard Dani Carvajal 90'+5'

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last game
Feb 11, 2024 3.15pm
Mallorca 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Alvaro Garcia

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Feb 10, 2024 5.30pm
Real Madrid 4 - 0 Girona
Goals scored
87
Top scorer
Jude Bellingham

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 59.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 18.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.82%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 1-0 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result

Rayo Vallecano 18.24% (-0.18)
Draw 22.53% (-0.05)
Real Madrid 59.23% (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.22% (-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.79% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 48.21% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 29.63% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 70.37% (+0.09)
Over 4.5 14.42% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 85.58% (+0.06)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 59.72% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 40.28% (+0.26)
Over 1.5 23.1% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 76.91% (+0.23)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 84.08% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 15.92% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 54.83% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 45.17% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Rayo Vallecano 18.24%
Draw 22.52%
Real Madrid 59.23%
Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 5.83% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 4.87% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 2.65% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.48% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.36% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 18.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.71% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.41% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 22.52%
Real Madrid
0-1 @ 11.78% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 10.82% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 9.85% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.63% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 6.03% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 3.05% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 2.77% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.12% (+0.02)
1-5 @ 1.02% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 59.23%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 12
Nov 5, 2023 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
  • Eduardo Camavinga 62' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Junior 74' yellowcard
  • Antonio Rudiger 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andrei Ratiu 44'
  • yellowcard Pathe Ciss 57'
  • yellowcard Oscar Trejo 88'
  • yellowcard Stole Dimitrievski 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Florian Lejeune 90'+6'
La Liga Gameweek 36
May 24, 2023 6.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Karim Benzema 31' goal
  • Rodrygo 89' goal
  • goal Raul de Tomas 84'
La Liga Gameweek 13
Nov 7, 2022 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Santi Comesana 5' goal
  • Alvaro Garcia 44' goal
  • Oscar Trejo 67' goal
  • goal Luka Modric 37'
  • goal Eder Militao 41'
La Liga Gameweek 26
Feb 26, 2022 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Oscar Valentin 42' yellowcard
  • Oscar Trejo 56' yellowcard
  • Ivan Balliu 65' yellowcard
  • Bebe 72' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Catena 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Casemiro 58'
  • yellowcard Ferland Mendy 63'
  • goal Karim Benzema 83'
  • yellowcard Dani Ceballos 90'+6'
La Liga Gameweek 13
Nov 6, 2021 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Toni Kroos 14' goal
  • Toni Kroos 29' yellowcard
  • Karim Benzema 38' goal
  • yellowcard Ivan Balliu 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Santi Comesana 68'
  • goal Radamel Falcao 76'
La Liga Gameweek 35
Apr 28, 2019 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas (Madrid)
  • Adri Embarba 23' goal
  • Mario Suarez 43' yellowcard
  • Uche Agbo 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jesus Vallejo 22'
  • yellowcard Luka Modric 28'
  • yellowcard Mariano 62'
  • yellowcard Dani Carvajal 79'
  • yellowcard Marcelo 86'

Build-up

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