La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 25

Feb 18, 2024 at 1pm UK

Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 1
Real Madrid

de Tomas (27' pen.)
Isi (45+1'), Balliu (45+4'), de Tomas (81'), Garcia (82')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Joselu (3')
Camavinga (61'), Carvajal (90+3')
Carvajal (90+5')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Mallorca 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, February 11 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-1 Real Madrid
Tuesday, February 13 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 59.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 18.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.82%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 1-0 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Real Madrid
18.24% ( 0.4)	22.53% ( 0.68)	59.23% ( -1.07)

Both teams to score 50.22% (

-1.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.79% (

-2.23)

48.21% (

2.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.63% (

-2.07)

70.37% (

2.08)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.72% (

-0.85)

40.28% (

0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.1% (

-0.78)

76.91% (

0.79)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.08% (

-1.1)

15.92% (

1.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.83% (

-2.07)

45.17% (

2.07)

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 18.24%

Real Madrid 59.23%

Draw 22.52%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.06% Total : 18.24%	1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.57) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.92% Total : 22.52%	0-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.63) 0-2 @ 10.82% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 6.63% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 6.03% ( -0.28) 0-4 @ 3.05% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 2.77% ( -0.24) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.2) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.14) 0-5 @ 1.12% ( -0.12) 1-5 @ 1.02% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.16% Total : 59.23%