Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 36.56%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.33%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (12.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 36.56% ( | 29.8% ( | 33.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 42.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.49% ( | 64.51% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.45% ( | 83.55% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.27% ( | 33.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.62% ( | 70.38% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.29% ( | 35.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.52% ( | 72.48% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 13.08% 2-1 @ 7.33% ( 2-0 @ 7.11% ( 3-1 @ 2.65% ( 3-0 @ 2.58% ( 3-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.43% Total : 36.55% | 1-1 @ 13.47% 0-0 @ 12.04% ( 2-2 @ 3.77% ( Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.79% | 0-1 @ 12.4% 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0-2 @ 6.39% ( 1-3 @ 2.38% ( 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 2-3 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 2.04% Total : 33.64% |