Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Sevilla |
| 39.24% ( | 26.75% ( | 34.01% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.49% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.47% ( | 53.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.95% ( | 75.04% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.33% ( | 26.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.08% ( | 61.91% ( |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.22% ( | 29.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.15% ( | 65.85% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Sevilla |
| 1-0 @ 10.49% ( 2-1 @ 8.4% ( 2-0 @ 6.94% ( 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 3-0 @ 3.06% ( 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 4-0 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.17% Total : 39.23% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0-0 @ 7.94% ( 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 3-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.74% | 0-1 @ 9.62% ( 1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0-2 @ 5.83% ( 1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 1-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.4% Total : 34.01% |