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La Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Sevilla logo

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 2
Sevilla

Isi (29')
Crespo (90+2'), Dimitrievski (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-2)
En-Nesyri (19', 45')
Romero (36'), Acuna (45+5'), Mejbri (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawSevilla
39.24% (0.628 0.63)26.75% (0.118 0.12)34.01% (-0.75 -0.75)
Both teams to score 51.49% (-0.499 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.47% (-0.578 -0.58)53.53% (0.572 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.95% (-0.491 -0.49)75.04% (0.48599999999999 0.49)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.33% (0.077999999999989 0.08)26.66% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.08% (0.105 0.11)61.91% (-0.109 -0.11)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.22% (-0.75800000000001 -0.76)29.77% (0.753 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.15% (-0.92599999999999 -0.93)65.85% (0.922 0.92)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 39.23%
    Sevilla 34.01%
    Draw 26.74%
Rayo VallecanoDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 10.49% (0.26 0.26)
2-1 @ 8.4% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.94% (0.186 0.19)
3-1 @ 3.7% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.06% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 39.23%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.94% (0.177 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 9.62% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.7% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-2 @ 5.83% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.35% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 34.01%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla

Rayo Vallecano
41.8%
Draw
31.3%
Sevilla
26.9%
182
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 9
Sevilla
2-2
Rayo Vallecano
Sow (50'), En-Nesyri (90+6')
Gudelj (36'), Sow (45+3'), Suso (67'), Navas (84'), Jordan (90+7')
Valentin (21'), Garcia (26')
Hernandez (74'), Perez (84')
Feb 19, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 22
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Sevilla
Lejeune (65')
Suso (29')
Oct 29, 2022 5.30pm
Mar 13, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 28
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Sevilla
Bebe (46')
Iraola (74')
Delaney (63')
Ocampos (59')
Aug 15, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 1
Sevilla
3-0
Rayo Vallecano
En-Nesyri (19' pen.), Lamela (55', 79')
Idrissi (45+5')

Zidane (16')