Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 50.33%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.