Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 7, 2024 at 11am UK
Estadio Municipal de El Plantio
Mallorca logo

Burgos
0 - 3
Mallorca


Sancris (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gonzalez (63'), Larin (74'), Prats (81')
Sanchez (58'), Van der Heyden (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Copa del Rey clash between Burgos and Mallorca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burgos

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Espanyol 3-3 Burgos
Tuesday, December 19 at 8.30pm in Segunda Division

Mallorca

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-0 Mallorca
Wednesday, January 3 at 6.15pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.

Result
BurgosDrawMallorca
40.55% (0.091000000000001 0.09)28.36% (0.151 0.15)31.08% (-0.24 -0.24)
Both teams to score 45.92% (-0.5 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.81% (-0.585 -0.59)60.19% (0.587 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.61% (-0.446 -0.45)80.38% (0.44800000000001 0.45)
Burgos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.9% (-0.233 -0.23)29.09% (0.235 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.98% (-0.289 -0.29)65.01% (0.291 0.29)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.77% (-0.48999999999999 -0.49)35.23% (0.491 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.01% (-0.514 -0.51)71.98% (0.51600000000001 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Burgos 40.55%
    Mallorca 31.08%
    Draw 28.36%
BurgosDrawMallorca
1-0 @ 12.65% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.81% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.35% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.22% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 40.55%
1-1 @ 13.2% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 10.25% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.36%
0-1 @ 10.69% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.89% (-0.077000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.58% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.4% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 31.08%

How you voted: Burgos vs Mallorca

Burgos
41.0%
Draw
12.8%
Mallorca
46.2%
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