Copa del Rey
Nov 2, 2023 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Jose Rico Perez
  • Grego 35' goal
  • Josema 60' yellowcard
  • Ryan Nolan 83' yellowcard
  • Jean-Paul N'Djoli 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Fernando Nino 19'
  • goal Javi Lopez 51'
  • yellowcard Unai Elgezabal 77'
  • yellowcard Loic Badiashile 89'
  • yellowcard Borja Gonzalez 90'
  • yellowcard Miki Munoz 90'+3'

Hercules vs Burgos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hercules

All competitions

Burgos

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Hercules had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Hercules win was 1-0 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgos would win this match.

Result

Hercules 30.56% (-1.46)
Draw 28.29% (-0.14)
Burgos 41.15% (+1.59)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.95% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.93% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 60.07% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 19.71% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 80.29% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 8.17% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 91.83% (-0.05)

Hercules Goals

Over 0.5 64.45% (-1.02)
Under 0.5 35.55% (+1.02)
Over 1.5 27.68% (-1.07)
Under 1.5 72.32% (+1.07)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5 71.3% (+0.96)
Under 0.5 28.7% (-0.96)
Over 1.5 35.47% (+1.19)
Under 1.5 64.53% (-1.18)

Score analysis

Hercules 30.56%
Draw 28.28%
Burgos 41.14%
Hercules
1-0 @ 10.55% (-0.34)
2-1 @ 6.81% (-0.23)
2-0 @ 5.46% (-0.34)
3-1 @ 2.35% (-0.15)
3-0 @ 1.88% (-0.18)
3-2 @ 1.47% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 30.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.17% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 10.2% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.28%
Burgos
0-1 @ 12.73% (+0.29)
1-2 @ 8.22% (+0.18)
0-2 @ 7.95% (+0.39)
1-3 @ 3.42% (+0.17)
0-3 @ 3.31% (+0.25)
2-3 @ 1.77% (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-97.94)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-92.07)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 41.14%