La Liga Gameweek 23
Valencia
Feb 3, 2024 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
Almeria
  • Hugo Duro 14' goal
  • Roman Yaremchuk 23' goal
  • Roman Yaremchuk 24' yellowcard
  • Javi Guerra 25' yellowcard
  • Cristhian Mosquera 62' yellowcard
  • Hugo Guillamon 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gaizka Garitano 25'
  • goal Sergio Arribas 50'
  • yellowcard Alex Centelles 61'
  • yellowcard Edgar Gonzalez 64'
  • yellowcard Anthony Lozano 72'
  • redcard Leo Baptistao 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Lucas Robertone 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Largie Ramazani 90'+4'

Valencia vs Almeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions
Last game
Jan 28, 2024 8.00pm
Atletico 2 - 0 Valencia
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Hugo Duro

Almeria

All competitions
Last game
Jan 26, 2024 8.00pm
Almeria 0 - 3 Alaves
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Sergio Arribas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 57.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 20.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result

Valencia 57.64% ▲ (+0.89)
Draw 22.22% ▼ (-0.15)
Almeria 20.14% ▼ (-0.75)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.47% ▼ (-0.70)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.82% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 2.5 44.18% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 3.5 33.44% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 3.5 66.56% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 4.5 17.12% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 4.5 82.88% ▲ (+0.26)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5 84.93% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 0.5 15.06% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 1.5 56.42% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 1.5 43.58% ▼ (-0.33)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5 64.13% ▼ (-0.95)
Under 0.5 35.87% ▲ (+0.95)
Over 1.5 27.35% ▼ (-0.99)
Under 1.5 72.65% ▲ (+0.99)

Score analysis

Valencia 57.63%
Draw 22.21%
Almeria 20.14%
Valencia
1-0 @ 10.22% ▲ (+0.22)
2-1 @ 9.93% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.68% ▲ (+0.27)
3-1 @ 6.26% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 6.11% ▲ (+0.21)
3-2 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.12)
4-2 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 57.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.48% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.4% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.21%
Almeria
0-1 @ 5.54% ▼ (-0.06)
1-2 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.17)
0-2 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 20.14%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 6
Almeria
Sep 23, 2023 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos
Valencia
  • Sergio Arribas 59' goal
  • Cesar Montes 60' yellowcard
  • Sergio Arribas 69' goal
  • V. Moreno 78' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Melero 83' yellowcard
  • Largie Ramazani 89' yellowcard
  • Leo Baptistao 90'+11' yellowcard
  • goal Diego Lopez 14'
  • yellowcard Fran Perez 51'
  • goal Javi Guerra 63'
  • yellowcard Mouctar Diakhaby 86'
La Liga Gameweek 28
Almeria
Apr 9, 2023 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Valencia
  • Gonzalo Melero 49' goal
  • Srdan Babic 58' goal
  • goal Samu Castillejo 61'
La Liga Gameweek 18
Valencia
Jan 23, 2023 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
Almeria
  • Justin Kluivert 48' goal
  • Jose Gaya 65' goal
  • goal Chumi 54'
  • goal Francisco Portillo 74'
La Liga
Almeria
May 23, 2015 5.30pm
2
3
HT : 2 2
FT
Valencia
  • Thomas Partey 9' goal
  • Fernando Soriano 37' goal
  • Jose Manuel Casado 68' yellowcard
  • Wellington Silva 75' yellowcard
  • goal Nicolas Otamendi 28'
  • yellowcard Antonio Barragan 34'
  • goal Sofiane Feghouli 45'
  • yellowcard Daniel Parejo 69'
  • yellowcard Sofiane Feghouli 75'
  • goal Alcacer Paco 80'
  • yellowcard Jose Gaya 86'
  • redcard Daniel Parejo 89'
  • yellowcard Javi Fuego 92'
La Liga
Valencia
Jan 17, 2015 5.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT
Almeria
  • Daniel Parejo 11' goal
  • Rodrigo 28' goal
  • Lucas Orban 57' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Negredo 83' goal
  • Rodrigo De Paul 86' yellowcard
  • goal Tomer Hemed 13'
  • goal Tomer Hemed 33'
  • yellowcard Thomas Partey 40'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Dubarbier 81'
La Liga
Almeria
Mar 27, 2014 9.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Valencia
  • Corona 9' yellowcard
  • Aleix Parreu 25' yellowcard
  • Angel Trujillo 38' yellowcard
  • Oscar Diaz 53' goal
  • Oscar Diaz 56' goal
  • Oscar Diaz 56' yellowcard
  • Jose Antonio Verza 86' yellowcard
  • goal Seydou Keita 2'
  • goal Eduardo Vargas 34'
  • yellowcard Javi Fuego 64'
  • yellowcard Joao Pereira 90'

Form Data

Atletico 2 - 0 Valencia
Valencia 1 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Valencia 1 - 3 Celta Vigo
Cadiz 1 - 4 Valencia
Cartagena 1 - 2 Valencia
Valencia 3 - 1 Villarreal
Almeria 0 - 3 Alaves
Real Madrid 3 - 2 Almeria
Almeria 0 - 0 Girona
Osasuna 1 - 0 Almeria
Barcelona 3 - 2 Almeria
Almeria 0 - 0 Mallorca