La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 22

Jan 26, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos

Almeria
0 - 3
Alaves

Gonzalez (45+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Omorodion (10', 88'), Rioja (52' pen.)
Gorosabel (3'), Guevara (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Real Madrid 3-2 Almeria
Sunday, January 21 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Alaves

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Cadiz
Friday, January 19 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Almeria	Draw	Alaves
38.94% ( -0.11)	27.78% ( 0.02)	33.28% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 48.19% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.35% (

-0.05)

57.64% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.59% (

-0.04)

78.41% (

0.03)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.21% (

-0.09)

28.78% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.37% (

-0.11)

64.63% (

0.1)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.66% (

0.04)

32.34% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.16% (

0.05)

68.84% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Almeria 38.94%

Alaves 33.27%

Draw 27.77%

Almeria	Draw	Alaves
1-0 @ 11.59% 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 38.94%	1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.77%	0-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 33.27%