Copa del Rey | Round of 16

Jan 16, 2024 at 8pm UK

San Mames Barria

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 0
Alaves

Villalibre (28', 60')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Benavidez (71'), Marin (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa del Rey clash between Athletic Bilbao and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Real Sociedad
Saturday, January 13 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Alaves

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Sevilla 2-3 Alaves
Friday, January 12 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 59.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 16.61%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.29%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Alaves
59.55% ( -0.04)	23.83% ( 0.02)	16.61% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 43.49%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.37% (

-0.02)

55.62% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.22% (

-0.02)

76.78% (

0.02)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.54% (

-0.02)

18.46% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.35% (

-0.04)

49.64% (

0.04)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.33% (

0.01)

46.67% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.76% (

0.01)

82.23% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 59.54%

Alaves 16.61%

Draw 23.83%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Alaves
1-0 @ 14.55% 2-0 @ 12.29% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 59.54%	1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.57% ( 0) Other @ 0.55% Total : 23.83%	0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.23% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.5% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.34% Total : 16.61%