La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 21

Jan 19, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves
1 - 0
Cadiz

Rioja (51' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Guardiola (22'), Alejo (49'), Pires (50'), Fali (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Alaves
Tuesday, January 16 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cadiz

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Cadiz 1-4 Valencia
Sunday, January 14 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 50.13%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 22.37%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alaves in this match.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Cadiz
50.13% ( 0.34)	27.5% ( -0.15)	22.37% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 42.31% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.24% (

0.31)

61.76% (

-0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.44% (

0.23)

81.56% (

-0.23)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.1% (

0.3)

24.9% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.48% (

0.42)

59.52% (

-0.42)

Cadiz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.34% (

-0.02)

43.66% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.16% (

-0.01)

79.84% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Alaves 50.12%

Cadiz 22.37%

Draw 27.49%

Alaves	Draw	Cadiz
1-0 @ 15.11% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.13% Total : 50.12%	1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.5% Total : 27.49%	0-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.37%