Champions League
Mar 6, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
  • Vinicius Junior 54' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Junior 65' goal
  • Aurelien Tchouameni 73' yellowcard
  • Toni Kroos 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Xaver Schlager 20'
  • yellowcard David Raum 50'
  • goal Willi Orban 68'
  • yellowcard Willi Orban 71'

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Feb 13, 2024 8.00pm
RB Leipzig 0 - 1 Real Madrid

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Feb 13, 2024 8.00pm
RB Leipzig 0 - 1 Real Madrid

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 59.37%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 20.43% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 1-0 (7.39%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (5.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Real Madrid 59.37% (+0.44)
Draw 20.2% (-0.19)
RB Leipzig 20.43% (-0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.13% (+0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.66% (+0.58)
Under 2.5 34.34% (-0.57)
Over 3.5 43.75% (+0.65)
Under 3.5 56.25% (-0.64)
Over 4.5 25.23% (+0.55)
Under 4.5 74.77% (-0.54)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 88.62% (+0.30)
Under 0.5 11.38% (-0.29)
Over 1.5 63.9% (+0.64)
Under 1.5 36.11% (-0.63)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 70.11% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 29.89% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 34.01% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 65.99% (-0.14)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 59.37%
Draw 20.2%
RB Leipzig 20.43%
Real Madrid
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.03% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 7.39% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 7.03% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 5.82% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 4.24% (+0.06)
4-1 @ 3.82% (+0.08)
4-0 @ 3.16% (+0.06)
4-2 @ 2.31% (+0.06)
5-1 @ 1.66% (+0.06)
5-0 @ 1.38% (+0.05)
5-2 @ 1% (-95.70)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 59.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.93% (-0.13)
2-2 @ 5.86% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.4% (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.71% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 20.2%
RB Leipzig
1-2 @ 5.39% (-0.06)
0-1 @ 4.11% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 2.48% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.36% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.17% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 20.43%

Head to Head

Champions League
Feb 13, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Marco Rose 45' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Simakan 53' yellowcard
  • Yussuf Poulsen 77' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Sesko 85' yellowcard
  • goal Brahim Diaz 48'
  • yellowcard Dani Carvajal 66'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 85'
Champions League
Oct 25, 2022 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Josko Gvardiol 13' goal
  • Christopher Nkunku 18' goal
  • Timo Werner 81' goal
  • goal Vinicius Junior 44'
  • goal Rodrygo 90'+4'
Champions League
Sep 14, 2022 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Federico Valverde 80' goal
  • Marco Asensio 90'+1' goal

Build-up

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