La Liga
Gameweek
29
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-
Ante Budimir
7'
-
Jorge Herrando
31'
-
Lucas Torro
55'
-
Unai Garcia
63'
-
Iker Munoz
90'+1'
-
Vinicius Junior
4'
-
Dani Carvajal
18'
-
Vinicius Junior
44'
-
Eduardo Camavinga
53'
-
Brahim Diaz
61'
-
Vinicius Junior
64'
Osasuna vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F10%2Fcarlo-ancelotti.jpg)
The match
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F43%2Fjude-bellingham_2.JPG)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F06%2Frmagir.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F48%2Freal-madrid.jpg)
Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 55.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.18%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result
Osasuna
20.6%
▼
(-0.28)
Draw
23.55%
▼
(-0.23)
Real Madrid
55.85%
▲
(+0.50)
Both Teams to Score:
50.92%
▲
(+0.30)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.75%
▲
(+0.60)
Under 2.5
49.25%
▼
(-0.60)
Over 3.5
28.69%
▲
(+0.54)
Under 3.5
71.3%
▼
(-0.54)
Over 4.5
13.78%
▲
(+0.36)
Under 4.5
86.22%
▼
(-0.36)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5
61.7%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 0.5
38.3%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 1.5
24.94%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
75.06%
▼
(-0.06)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
82.53%
▲
(+0.41)
Under 0.5
17.46%
▼
(-0.40)
Over 1.5
52.06%
▲
(+0.70)
Under 1.5
47.94%
▼
(-0.70)
Score analysis
Osasuna
20.6%
Draw
23.55%
Real Madrid
55.84%
Osasuna
1-0
@
6.42%
▼
(-0.15)
2-1 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 20.6%
2-1 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 20.6%
Draw
1-1
@
11.2%
▼
(-0.11)
0-0 @ 6.69% ▼ (-0.17)
2-2 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.55%
0-0 @ 6.69% ▼ (-0.17)
2-2 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.55%
Real Madrid
0-1
@
11.67%
▼
(-0.14)
0-2 @ 10.18% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.77% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 5.92% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.05)
0-4 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.08)
1-4 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.08)
2-4 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 55.84%
0-2 @ 10.18% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.77% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 5.92% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.05)
0-4 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.08)
1-4 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.08)
2-4 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 55.84%
Head to Head
La Liga
Gameweek
9
-
Jude Bellingham
9'
-
Antonio Rudiger
40'
-
Jude Bellingham
54'
-
Aurelien Tchouameni
59'
-
Vinicius Junior
65'
-
Joselu
70'
-
Kike Barja
83'
-
Pablo Ibanez
83'
Copa del Rey
-
Rodrygo
2'
-
Rodrygo
70'
-
Lucas Torro
58'
La Liga
Gameweek
22
-
Federico Valverde
78'
-
Marco Asensio
90'+2'
La Liga
Gameweek
7
-
Vinicius Junior
42'
-
Kike
50'
La Liga
Gameweek
33
-
Ante Budimir
13'
-
Darko Brasanac
44'
-
Eduardo Camavinga
5'
-
David Alaba
12'
-
Marco Asensio
45'
-
Eder Militao
60'
-
Nacho
62'
-
Lucas Vazquez
90'+6'
La Liga
Gameweek
11
-
Eduardo Camavinga
28'
-
Unai Garcia
15'
Form Data
Build-up
News
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