La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 28

Mar 9, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Girona
2 - 0
Osasuna

Portu (13'), Savio (86')
Martin (35'), Garcia (58'), Portu (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Herrando (45'), Areso (72'), Gomez (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Girona and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Girona

All competitions

Last Game: Mallorca 1-0 Girona
Sunday, March 3 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Osasuna

All competitions

Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Alaves
Monday, March 4 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 60.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 17.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
Girona	Draw	Osasuna
60.72% ( -0.35)	21.33% ( 0.13)	17.95% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 53.55% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.5% (

-0.21)

43.5% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.11% (

-0.21)

65.89% (

0.21)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.13% (

-0.17)

13.87% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.74% (

-0.35)

41.26% (

0.34)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.17% (

0.12)

37.83% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.4% (

0.12)

74.6% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Girona 60.71%

Osasuna 17.95%

Draw 21.32%

Girona	Draw	Osasuna
1-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.23% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.95% Total : 60.71%	1-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.32%	0-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 17.95%