Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 39.31% ( | 27.89% ( | 32.8% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.77% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.88% ( | 58.12% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.22% ( | 78.79% ( |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.2% ( | 28.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.35% ( | 64.66% ( |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.09% ( | 32.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.52% ( | 69.49% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Osasuna | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 11.79% ( 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 3-1 @ 3.39% ( 3-0 @ 3.05% ( 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 4-1 @ 1.05% ( 4-0 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.7% Total : 39.31% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( 0-0 @ 9.48% ( 2-2 @ 4.54% ( Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.88% | 0-1 @ 10.53% ( 1-2 @ 7.29% ( 0-2 @ 5.85% ( 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0-3 @ 2.17% ( 2-3 @ 1.68% ( Other @ 2.58% Total : 32.8% |