Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 42.91%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 27.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Osasuna in this match.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Alaves |
| 42.91% ( | 29.73% ( | 27.35% ( |
| Both teams to score 40.79% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.27% ( | 65.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.6% ( | 84.4% ( |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.49% ( | 30.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.27% ( | 66.73% ( |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.7% ( | 41.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.18% ( | 77.82% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Osasuna | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 14.95% 2-0 @ 8.88% ( 2-1 @ 7.85% ( 3-0 @ 3.51% ( 3-1 @ 3.11% ( 3-2 @ 1.37% ( 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 4-1 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.27% Total : 42.91% | 1-1 @ 13.22% 0-0 @ 12.59% ( 2-2 @ 3.47% ( Other @ 0.43% Total : 29.72% | 0-1 @ 11.14% ( 1-2 @ 5.85% ( 0-2 @ 4.93% ( 1-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 1.45% ( 2-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.23% Total : 27.35% |