La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 24

Feb 10, 2024 at 1pm UK

Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves
1 - 1
Villarreal

Omorodion (25')
Garcia (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Cuenca (42')
Cuenca (44'), Sorloth (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Alaves 1-3 Barcelona
Saturday, February 3 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Villarreal

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Villarreal 0-0 Cadiz
Sunday, February 4 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Villarreal
40.9% ( -0.04)	25.6% ( 0)	33.49% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 55.11% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.16% (

-0)

48.84% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.06% (

-0)

70.94% (

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.34% (

-0.02)

23.66% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.24% (

-0.03)

57.76% (

0.03)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.19% (

0.02)

27.8% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.6% (

0.02)

63.39% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Alaves 40.9%

Villarreal 33.49%

Draw 25.6%

Alaves	Draw	Villarreal
1-0 @ 9.48% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 40.9%	1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.6%	0-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 33.49%