Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Girona |
| 32.55% ( | 26.8% ( | 40.65% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.99% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.98% ( | 54.02% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.54% ( | 75.45% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.01% ( | 30.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.71% ( | 67.29% ( |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.88% ( | 26.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.81% ( | 61.19% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 9.48% ( 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 2-0 @ 5.56% ( 3-1 @ 2.91% ( 3-0 @ 2.17% ( 3-2 @ 1.96% ( Other @ 3.01% Total : 32.55% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0-0 @ 8.09% ( 2-2 @ 5.01% ( Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 10.86% ( 1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0-2 @ 7.29% ( 1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0-3 @ 3.26% ( 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0-4 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 40.65% |