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La Liga | Gameweek 26
Feb 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Rayo Vallecano logo

Girona
3 - 0
Rayo Vallecano

Tsygankov (52'), Savio (90+1', 90+5')
Garcia (54'), Couto (85'), Savio (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ciss (65'), Crespo (73'), Chavarria (75'), Perez (81')
Chavarria (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Girona and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Girona 2-0 Rayo Vallecano

Girona desperately need to bounce back from their successive defeats, and we are expecting the Catalan side to be victorious here. Rayo will have been boosted by their draw with Real Madrid, but Girona should have enough quality to pick up a much-needed three points on Monday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 52.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 23.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
GironaDrawRayo Vallecano
52.42% (0.32100000000001 0.32) 24.11% (0.109 0.11) 23.47% (-0.431 -0.43)
Both teams to score 52.96% (-0.837 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.59% (-0.872 -0.87)48.41% (0.87 0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.45% (-0.8 -0.8)70.55% (0.79900000000001 0.8)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.56% (-0.209 -0.21)18.43% (0.207 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.4% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)49.6% (0.351 0.35)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.93% (-0.861 -0.86)35.06% (0.858 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.19% (-0.911 -0.91)71.81% (0.90899999999999 0.91)
Score Analysis
    Girona 52.41%
    Rayo Vallecano 23.47%
    Draw 24.11%
GironaDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 10.92% (0.31 0.31)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.24% (0.208 0.21)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.21% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 52.41%
1-1 @ 11.45% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.46% (0.229 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.11%
0-1 @ 6.77% (0.085 0.09)
1-2 @ 6% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.55% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.1% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.24% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 23.47%

How you voted: Girona vs Rayo Vallecano

Girona
87.7%
Draw
10.4%
Rayo Vallecano
1.9%
154
Head to Head
Jan 17, 2024 8.30pm
Round of 16
Girona
3-1
Rayo Vallecano
Stuani (15', 19' pen.), Blind (26')
Stuani (45+2')
Nteka (36')
Nteka (45+2')
Nov 11, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 13
Rayo Vallecano
1-2
Girona
Garcia (5')
Garcia (44')
Dovbyk (42'), Savio (65')
Gutierrez (13'), Martin (73')
Mar 18, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 26
Rayo Vallecano
2-2
Girona
Isi (23'), Trejo (34')
Tsygankov (29', 52')
Dec 29, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 15
Girona
2-2
Rayo Vallecano
Castellanos (34' pen.), Saiz (75' pen.)
Camello (2'), Isi (62')
Jan 15, 2022 5.30pm
Round of 16
Girona
1-2
Rayo Vallecano
Espinosa (26')
Juanpe (18'), Martinez (79'), Moreno (90+7')
Martinez (90+8')
Guardiola (45+1', 48')
Suarez (26'), Catena (26'), Valentin (69'), Isi (90+4'), Comesana (90+6'), Trejo (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid30236166204675
2Barcelona30207361342767
3GironaGirona30205562362665
4Atletico MadridAtletico30184856352158
5Athletic Bilbao30168650282256
6Real Sociedad301310743311249
7Real BetisBetis31111283837145
8Valencia30128103332144
9Osasuna30116133643-739
10Villarreal30108124853-538
11Getafe30911103743-638
12Las PalmasLas Palmas30107132933-437
13AlavesAlaves3088142636-1032
14Sevilla30710133744-731
15Mallorca30613112535-1031
16Rayo Vallecano30612122538-1330
17Celta Vigo31610153346-1328
18CadizCadiz30413132140-1925
19Granada3028203060-3014
20Almeria30110192860-3213


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