La Liga Gameweek 26
Feb 26, 2024 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
  • Viktor Tsygankov 52' goal
  • Aleix Garcia 54' yellowcard
  • Yan Couto 85' yellowcard
  • Savio 90'+1' goal
  • Savio 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Savio 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Pathe Ciss 65'
  • yellowcard Miguel Crespo 73'
  • yellowcard Pep Chavarria 75'
  • redcard Pep Chavarria 76'
  • yellowcard Kike Perez 81'

Girona vs Rayo Vallecano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Girona

All competitions
Last game
Feb 19, 2024 8.00pm
Athletic Bilbao 3 - 2 Girona
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Artem Dovbyk

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last game
Feb 18, 2024 1.00pm
Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Real Madrid
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Alvaro Garcia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 52.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 23.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result

Girona 52.42% (+0.33)
Draw 24.11% (+0.11)
Rayo Vallecano 23.47% (-0.44)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.96% (-0.84)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.59% (-0.88)
Under 2.5 48.41% (+0.87)
Over 3.5 29.45% (-0.81)
Under 3.5 70.55% (+0.80)
Over 4.5 14.29% (-0.56)
Under 4.5 85.7% (+0.55)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5 81.56% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 18.43% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 50.4% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 49.6% (+0.36)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 64.93% (-0.87)
Under 0.5 35.06% (+0.86)
Over 1.5 28.19% (-0.92)
Under 1.5 71.81% (+0.91)

Score analysis

Girona 52.41%
Draw 24.11%
Rayo Vallecano 23.47%
Girona
1-0 @ 10.92% (+0.32)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.24% (+0.21)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 5.21% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.09)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 2.2% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 52.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.45% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 6.46% (+0.23)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.13)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 24.11%
Rayo Vallecano
0-1 @ 6.77% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 6% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 3.55% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.1% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 1.24% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 23.47%

Head to Head

Copa del Rey
Jan 17, 2024 8.30pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
  • Cristhian Stuani 15' goal
  • Cristhian Stuani 19' goal
  • Daley Blind 26' goal
  • Cristhian Stuani 45'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Randy Nteka 36'
  • yellowcard Randy Nteka 45'+2'
La Liga Gameweek 13
Nov 11, 2023 1.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Alvaro Garcia 5' goal
  • Alvaro Garcia 44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Miguel Gutierrez 13'
  • goal Artem Dovbyk 42'
  • goal Savio 65'
  • yellowcard Ivan Martin 73'
La Liga Gameweek 26
Mar 18, 2023 3.15pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Isi 23' goal
  • Oscar Trejo 34' goal
  • goal Viktor Tsygankov 29'
  • goal Viktor Tsygankov 52'
La Liga Gameweek 15
Dec 29, 2022 4.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
  • Valentin Castellanos 34' goal
  • Samuel Saiz 75' goal
  • goal Sergio Camello 2'
  • goal Isi 62'
Copa del Rey
Jan 15, 2022 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
  • Juanpe 18' yellowcard
  • Bernardo Espinosa 26' goal
  • Arnau Martinez 79' yellowcard
  • Pablo Moreno 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Gabri Martinez 90'+8' redcard
  • yellowcard Mario Suarez 26'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Catena 26'
  • goal Sergi Guardiola 45'+1'
  • goal Sergi Guardiola 48'
  • yellowcard Oscar Valentin 69'
  • yellowcard Isi 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Santi Comesana 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Oscar Trejo 90'+7'
Segunda Division
Jun 20, 2021 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
  • Edgar Joel Barcenas 31' yellowcard
  • Juanpe 85' yellowcard
  • goal Alvaro Garcia 7'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Velazquez 40'
  • goal Oscar Trejo 45'+1'
  • redcard Emiliano Velazquez 56'
  • yellowcard Oscar Trejo 76'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Catena 90'+6'