Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.14%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 26.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.94%) and 1-2 (7.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.49%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 26.82% ( | 31.04% ( | 42.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 37.55% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.48% ( | 69.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.07% ( | 86.93% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56% ( | 44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.88% ( | 80.13% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.06% ( | 32.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.48% ( | 69.52% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 11.89% ( 2-1 @ 5.42% ( 2-0 @ 4.88% ( 3-1 @ 1.48% ( 3-0 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 1.79% Total : 26.81% | 0-0 @ 14.49% ( 1-1 @ 13.21% ( 2-2 @ 3.01% ( Other @ 0.32% Total : 31.03% | 0-1 @ 16.09% ( 0-2 @ 8.94% ( 1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0-3 @ 3.31% ( 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.71% Total : 42.13% |