La Liga Gameweek 28
Real Madrid
Mar 10, 2024 5.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Celta Vigo
  • Vinicius Junior 21' goal
  • Eduardo Camavinga 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Junior 55' yellowcard
  • Vicente Guaita 79' goal
  • Carlos Dominguez 88' goal
  • Arda Guler 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Luca de la Torre 25'
  • yellowcard Oscar Mingueza 55'
  • yellowcard Javi Manquillo 82'

Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Mar 2, 2024 8.00pm
Valencia 2 - 2 Real Madrid
Goals scored
87
Top scorer
Jude Bellingham

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2024 8.00pm
Celta Vigo 1 - 0 Almeria
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Jorgen Strand Larsen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 71.88%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 11.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result

Real Madrid 71.88% ▼ (-0.12)
Draw 17.06% ▲ (+0.06)
Celta Vigo 11.05% ▲ (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.89% ▲ (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.93% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 39.07% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 38.61% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 61.39% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 21.03% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 78.97% ▲ (+0.05)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 90.43% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 9.57% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 67.98% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 32.02% ▲ (+0.10)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 55.16% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 44.83% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 19.2% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 80.8% ▼ (-0.06)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 71.87%
Draw 17.06%
Celta Vigo 11.05%
Real Madrid
2-0 @ 11.81% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 10.06% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.48% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 9.24% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 7.41% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 4.35% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.8%
Total : 71.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.08% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.29% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.8% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 17.06%
Celta Vigo
0-1 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 11.05%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 3
Celta Vigo
Aug 25, 2023 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Balaidos
Real Madrid
  • Jorgen Strand Larsen 3' goal
  • Iago Aspas 67' yellowcard
  • Renato Tapia 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Toni Kroos 71'
  • goal Jude Bellingham 81'
  • yellowcard Antonio Rudiger 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Nacho 90'+6'
La Liga Gameweek 30
Real Madrid
Apr 22, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Celta Vigo
  • Marco Asensio 42' goal
  • Eder Militao 48' goal
La Liga Gameweek 2
Celta Vigo
Aug 20, 2022 9.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio de Balaídos
Real Madrid
  • Renato Tapia 13' yellowcard
  • Iago Aspas 23' goal
  • Hugo Mallo 85' yellowcard
  • goal Karim Benzema 14'
  • goal Luka Modric 41'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 56'
  • yellowcard Dani Carvajal 65'
  • goal Federico Valverde 66'
  • yellowcard David Alaba 68'
La Liga Gameweek 30
Celta Vigo
Apr 2, 2022 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Real Madrid
  • Javi Galan 36' yellowcard
  • Thiago Galhardo 40' yellowcard
  • Nolito 52' goal
  • Jeison Murillo 57' yellowcard
  • goal Karim Benzema 19'
  • goal Karim Benzema 69'
La Liga Gameweek 4
Real Madrid
Sep 12, 2021 8.00pm
5
2
HT : 1 2
FT
Celta Vigo
  • Karim Benzema 24' goal
  • Nacho 32' yellowcard
  • Karim Benzema 46' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 54' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 55' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Camavinga 72' goal
  • Karim Benzema 87' goal
  • goal Santi Mina 4'
  • goal Franco Cervi 31'
  • yellowcard Jeison Murillo 43'
  • yellowcard Nestor Araujo 63'
  • yellowcard Augusto Solari 63'
La Liga Gameweek 28
Celta Vigo
Mar 20, 2021 3.15pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
Real Madrid
  • Renato Tapia 25' yellowcard
  • Santi Mina 40' goal
  • Denis Suarez 78' yellowcard
  • Augusto Solari 85' yellowcard
  • goal Karim Benzema 20'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 22'
  • goal Karim Benzema 30'
  • yellowcard Toni Kroos 39'
  • yellowcard Nacho 70'
  • yellowcard Luka Modric 80'
  • goal Marco Asensio 90'+4'

Form Data

Real Madrid 1 - 1 RB Leipzig
Valencia 2 - 2 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 1 - 0 Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Real Madrid
RB Leipzig 0 - 1 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 4 - 0 Girona
Celta Vigo 1 - 0 Almeria
Cadiz 2 - 2 Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo 1 - 2 Barcelona
Getafe 3 - 2 Celta Vigo
Osasuna 0 - 3 Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo 0 - 1 Girona

Build-up

News