La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 28

Mar 10, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
4 - 0
Celta Vigo

Junior (21'), Guaita (79' og.), Dominguez (88' og.), Guler (90+4')
Camavinga (45+1'), Junior (55')

FT(HT: 1-0)

de la Torre (25'), Mingueza (55'), Manquillo (82')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 1-1 RB Leipzig
Wednesday, March 6 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Celta Vigo

All competitions

Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-0 Almeria
Friday, March 1 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 71.88%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 11.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Celta Vigo
71.88% ( -0.11)	17.06% ( 0.05)	11.05% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 49.89% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.93% (

-0.06)

39.07% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.61% (

-0.06)

61.39% (

0.06)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.43% (

-0.04)

9.57% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.98% (

-0.1)

32.02% (

0.1)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.16% (

0.07)

44.83% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.2% (

0.06)

80.8% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 71.87%

Celta Vigo 11.05%

Draw 17.06%

Real Madrid	Draw	Celta Vigo
2-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.81% Total : 71.87%	1-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.9% Total : 17.06%	0-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 11.05%