Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 36.29%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (11.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Getafe would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 36.29% ( | 28.84% ( | 34.88% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.72% ( | 61.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.79% ( | 81.2% ( |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.78% ( | 32.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.29% ( | 68.71% ( |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.86% ( | 33.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.25% ( | 69.74% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Getafe | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 12.09% ( 2-1 @ 7.56% ( 2-0 @ 6.85% ( 3-1 @ 2.86% ( 3-0 @ 2.59% ( 3-2 @ 1.58% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 36.28% | 1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 10.67% ( 2-2 @ 4.18% ( Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.82% | 0-1 @ 11.79% ( 1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0-2 @ 6.51% ( 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0-3 @ 2.4% ( 2-3 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 2.55% Total : 34.87% |