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La Liga | Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Celta Vigo logo

Cadiz
2 - 2
Celta Vigo

Juanmi (66'), Machis (90+10')
Juanmi (72'), Alcaraz (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Aspas (11'), Swedberg (58')
Tapia (33'), Manquillo (41'), Aspas (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 2-0 Cadiz
Saturday, February 17 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-2 Barcelona
Saturday, February 17 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Cadiz 1-1 Celta Vigo

It is so difficult to back either of these two sides at the moment, so we have had to settle on a 1-1 draw, which was also on the scoreline in the reverse meeting between the teams in Vigo earlier this season. The desire not to lose is expected to make Sunday's contest a tense and nervy affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
CadizDrawCelta Vigo
30.92% (-0.291 -0.29) 28.32% (0.23 0.23) 40.76% (0.052 0.05)
Both teams to score 46% (-0.749 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.93% (-0.891 -0.89)60.07% (0.884 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.71% (-0.684 -0.68)80.29% (0.676 0.68)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.72% (-0.68899999999999 -0.69)35.28% (0.68 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.96% (-0.725 -0.73)72.04% (0.71599999999999 0.72)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.07% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)28.92% (0.394 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.2% (-0.498 -0.5)64.8% (0.489 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 30.92%
    Celta Vigo 40.75%
    Draw 28.31%
CadizDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 10.63% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 6.87% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.54% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.39% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.92% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 30.92%
1-1 @ 13.18% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 10.2% (0.331 0.33)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.31%
0-1 @ 12.65% (0.28 0.28)
1-2 @ 8.18% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 7.85% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 40.75%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Celta Vigo

Cadiz
29.2%
Draw
30.8%
Celta Vigo
40.0%
65
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 15
Celta Vigo
1-1
Cadiz
Strand Larsen (57')
Dotor (90+3'), Dotor (90+3')
Ramos (16')
Iza (12'), Sobrino (21'), Gil (45+2'), Mbaye (59'), Alejo (74'), Alcaraz (90+3')
Chust (33')
May 28, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 37
Cadiz
1-0
Celta Vigo
Sobrino (53')
Lozano (10'), Sobrino (27'), Bongonda (39'), Hernandez (59'), Guardiola (60'), Alcaraz (62'), Alejo (76'), Fede (90+5'), Escalante (90')

Galan (16'), Nunez (45'), de la Torre (48'), Oscar (60'), Solari (63'), Aspas (90+5')
Sep 2, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 4
Celta Vigo
3-0
Cadiz
Aspas (56', 75'), Oscar (62')
Strand Larsen (78')

Lozano (27'), Zaldua (90+1')
Feb 12, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 24
Cadiz
0-0
Celta Vigo
Ledesma (82'), Jonsson (88'), Hernandez (90+4')
Cervi (25'), Galan (52')
Sep 17, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 5
Celta Vigo
1-2
Cadiz
Mina (64')
Galhardo (48'), Tapia (74'), Mendez (89')
Lozano (38'), Espino (43')
Sobrino (46'), Haroyan (52'), Alarcon (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid31246167204778
2Barcelona31217362342870
3GironaGirona32215667402768
4Atletico MadridAtletico31194859362361
5Athletic Bilbao321610652302258
6Real Sociedad311311745331250
7Real BetisBetis32121284038248
8Valencia32138113534147
9Villarreal31109124954-539
10Getafe31912103743-639
11Osasuna32116153746-939
12Las PalmasLas Palmas32107153039-937
13Sevilla31810133944-534
14Rayo Vallecano32713122739-1234
15AlavesAlaves3188152638-1232
16Celta Vigo32710153747-1031
17Mallorca31613122536-1131
18CadizCadiz32413152245-2325
19Granada3239203361-2818
20Almeria31111193062-3214


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